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American Idol
by Pinnacle Sportsbook

If a contestant cannot appeal to this demographic, no matter how much talent he or she possesses, they'll struggle for votes. Looks, demeanor and charisma are extremely important. And it's no coincidence that every Idol winner so far has hailed from a Southern state.

Elimination Props

Every week Pinnacle Sports betting offers a prop on who'll be eliminated from the show each Wednesday night. A suggestion to handicap this is to gauge an overall feel for who's the least popular contestant left in the competition. Generally the least popular performers have recently appeared in the bottom three and will have been the target of repeated criticism from the judges.

Two other resources to use are dialidol.com and votefortheworst.com. Dialidol.com measures the volume of each contestant's voting line. While by no means a perfect science, it does give a good indication of who is generating votes and who isn't. Meanwhile, votefortheworst.com is a site that attempts to build support for the worst competitor to keep them in the competition for entertainment value. The site has a proven track record of keeping performers around who most feel should have been voted off a long time ago.

Contestant vs. Contestant Match-ups

The best strategy for doing well on match-ups is to assess how close either of the contestants is to being eliminated. If neither is expected to be voted off of the show in the coming weeks, the value is almost always on the underdog. If both are expecting an imminent exit in the near future, the favorite in the match-up might offer value.

This Weeks Idol Betting

Odds to Win American Idol

Chris Daughtry +161
Katharine McPhee +314
Taylor Hicks +420
Kellie Pickler +700
Mandisa +909
Elliott Yamin +2000
Paris Bennett +2000
Ace Young +6000
Bucky Covington +15000

Who will be eliminated on April 5, 2006?

Bucky Covington +284
Elliot Yamin +310
Ace Young +311
Mandisa +351
Paris Bennett +786
Katharine McPhee +3320
Taylor Hicks +5000
Kellie Pickler +6000
Chris Daughtry +8000

Since last week's show, at Pinnacle Sports most of the money has come in on two contestants: Taylor Hicks and Kellie Pickler. Taylor's odds have steadily shortened from a high of over 5/1 a week ago to 21/5 (+420) to become the fifth American Idol. Not only is she votefortheworst.com's pick this week, but Kellie Pickler has also seen a rush of money as well and has gone from a little over 11/1 down to 7/1 to win the show.

In the match-ups, Elliot Yamin has drawn steady support this week, especially versus Ace Young, while Taylor Hicks has been bet heavily against both Mandisa and current favorite Chris Daughtry.