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Line Shopping Made Easy
by
Bodog Sportsbook
When shopping for a Jag or Harley, you don't just go to one
dealer and automatically pay what he's asking. You shop around;
you compare prices. The same approach holds true when sports
betting.
It may sound like common sense, but if you only use one
sportsbook, you have no choice but to accept the line they offer
(or to not bet). If you use two sportsbooks, you can compare
lines and wager on the one that provides you with the best
opportunity to win.
Example: The total for Game X is 43.5 at Sportsbook A and 42.5
at Sportsbook B. To bet the over, use Sportsbook B. To bet the
under, use Sportsbook A.
Does a single point really matter? Yes. Estimates vary, but
getting an extra half-point betters your chance of winning a
wager by about 2 percent.
When is it most important to shop for a line? You should always
make the effort to get the best line, but especially when you're
dealing with the key numbers in football - 3 and 7 - and smaller
numbers in general. In other words, the difference between a 2
and a 2.5-point line is more significant than the difference
between a 22 and a 22.5-point line.
How many sportsbooks should you use? The magic number is
probably somewhere between three and five books, but if you only
have one account, even getting two more sets of lines to look at
for every game should make a big difference to your bottom line
at the end of the season.
Another factor in beating the number and boosting your win
percentage is timing. Pay close attention to opening lines and
which way they move before making any plays.
Example: If a line opens at -6.5 and moves to -6, you know
sportsbooks are likely getting action on the underdog. If you
like the favorite in that particular game, you may be better
served by waiting to see if the line moves from -6 to -5.5 to -5
over the course of the day or the week.
Generally, the public prefers favorites and the over so the
lines tend to move in that direction (but not all the time or
books would simply raise those opening lines). Thus, the
rule-of-thumb is to play favorites and overs early; underdogs
and unders late.
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