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Line Shopping
Made Easy
From
Bodog Sportsbook
When shopping for a Jag
or Harley, you don't just go to one dealer and automatically pay
what he's asking. You shop around; you compare prices. The same
approach holds true when sports betting.
It may sound like common sense, but if you only use one sportsbook,
you have no choice but to accept the line they offer (or to not
bet). If you use two
sportsbooks, you can compare lines and wager on the one that
provides you with the best opportunity to win.
Example: The total for Game X is 43.5 at Sportsbook A and 42.5 at
Sportsbook B. To bet the over, use Sportsbook B. To bet the under,
use Sportsbook A.
Does a single point really matter? Yes. Estimates vary, but getting
an extra half-point betters your chance of winning a wager by about
2 percent.
When is it most important to shop for a line? You should always make
the effort to get the best line, but especially when you're dealing
with the key numbers
in football - 3 and 7 - and smaller numbers in general. In other
words, the difference between a 2 and a 2.5-point line is more
significant than the
difference between a 22 and a 22.5-point line.
How many sportsbooks should you use? The magic number is probably
somewhere between three and five books, but if you only have one
account, even getting two
more sets of lines to look at for every game should make a big
difference to your bottom line at the end of the season.
Another factor in beating the number and boosting your win
percentage is timing. Pay close attention to opening lines and which
way they move before making
any plays.
Example: If a line opens at -6.5 and moves to -6, you know
sportsbooks are likely getting action on the underdog. If you like
the favorite in that particular
game, you may be better served by waiting to see if the line moves
from -6 to -5.5 to -5 over the course of the day or the week.
Generally, the public prefers favorites and the over so the lines
tend to move in that direction (but not all the time or books would
simply raise those
opening lines). Thus, the rule-of-thumb is to play favorites and
overs early; underdogs and unders late.
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