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March Madness: Getting the Jump On Oddsmakers
by
Bodog Sportsbook
March Madness delivers some of the most entertaining college
basketball of the year. With so many games on the board every
round of March Madness guarantees at least a few major upsets.
For bettors wanting to get a jump on the action by learning how
to bet on the March Madness point spreads, here are some things
to keep in mind:
Understanding NCAA Basketball Point Spreads
The point spread is the number of points allocated and shown
with a "+" sign for the favorite and a "-" sign for the
underdog. The favorite has to win by more than the point spread
in order for you to win if you bet on the favorite.
During March Madness, the NCAA basketball point spreads are much
more affected by the general public because it tends to attract
a larger number of novice bettors than the regular season.
Oddsmakers take that sudden surge into account and adjust their
point spreads accordingly. But for bettors who have been
following the regular season and are familiar with different
teams from different conferences, they can still get the jump on
oddsmakers early on in the tournament.
Location, Location, Location
Linesmakers adjust their March Madness point spreads for travel
and home-court advantage during the NCAA Tournament much like
they do during the regular season, but they don't always adjust
them enough. This small oversight gives the informed bettor
added value when it comes to wagering on teams playing in
"friendly" courts and against teams forced to travel across the
country.
In 2006, for example Duke played "neutral site" games a the
Greensboro Coliseum in North Carolina en route to the Elite
Eight, while UCLA parlayed two "neutral site" games at the Cox
Arena in San Diego into wins, and then captured two more
victories (Sweet 16 and Elite Eight) in the Oakland Arena before
earning a spot in the title game. Playing all their games in
California really seemed to make a difference.
As soon as the selection process is completed and the
participating schools are announced, placed and seeded, it's a
good idea to take a close look at the schedule to determine the
teams' travel times.
The Madness that is March
With the bulk of the games being played during the opening round
of the NCAA Tournament, if there are any surprise victories to
come out of that first round you can pretty much expect
oddsmakers to overreact in setting their March Madness point
spreads. This leaves the door open for sharp bettors to take
note and take advantage of second-round opportunities.
However, oddsmakers tend to get stingy with their March Madness
point spreads with big-name schools like North Carolina (so
you're not likely to gain much ground there), but for
lesser-known schools there is still good value to be found for
bettors looking to take that leap of faith.
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