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March Madness Point
Spread: Getting the Jump on Oddsmakers
From
Bodog Sportsbook
March Madness delivers some of the most entertaining college
basketball of the year. With so many games on the board every round
of March Madness guarantees at least a few major upsets. For bettors
wanting to get a jump on the action by learning how to bet on the
March Madness point spreads, here are some things to keep in mind:
Understanding NCAA Basketball Point Spreads
The point spread is the number of points allocated and shown with a
"+" sign for the favorite and a "-" sign for the underdog. The
favorite has to win by more than the point spread in order for you
to win if you bet on the favorite.
During March Madness, the NCAA basketball point spreads are much
more affected by the general public because it tends to attract a
larger number of novice bettors than the regular season. Oddsmakers
take that sudden surge into account and adjust their point spreads
accordingly. But for bettors who have been following the regular
season and are familiar with different teams from different
conferences, they can still get the jump on oddsmakers early on in
the tournament.
Location, Location, Location
Linesmakers adjust their March Madness point spreads for travel and
home-court advantage during the NCAA Tournament much like they do
during the regular season, but they don't always adjust them enough.
This small oversight gives the informed bettor added value when it
comes to wagering on teams playing in "friendly" courts and against
teams forced to travel across the country.
In 2006, for example Duke played "neutral site" games a the
Greensboro Coliseum in North Carolina en route to the Elite Eight,
while UCLA parlayed two "neutral site" games at the Cox Arena in San
Diego into wins, and then captured two more victories (Sweet 16 and
Elite Eight) in the Oakland Arena before earning a spot in the title
game. Playing all their games in California really seemed to make a
difference.
As soon as the selection process is completed and the participating
schools are announced, placed and seeded, it's a good idea to take a
close look at the schedule to determine the teams' travel times.
The Madness that is March
With the bulk of the games being played during the opening round of
the NCAA Tournament, if there are any surprise victories to come out
of that first round you can pretty much expect oddsmakers to
overreact in setting their March Madness point spreads. This leaves
the door open for sharp bettors to take note and take advantage of
second-round opportunities.
However, oddsmakers tend to get stingy with their March Madness
point spreads with big-name schools like North Carolina (so you're
not likely to gain much ground there), but for lesser-known schools
there is still good value to be found for bettors looking to take
that leap of faith. |